30 Jun · 01:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DT
🇨🇿Daniel Tuma
ELO 1526
FormWWWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Bayer
AB
🇨🇿Ales Bayer
ELO 1561
FormLLLLW
48%
52%
🌟Tuma stays under total as underdog 85% (13)
Fair odds · Bayer
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 53% · 1.88· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+35
H2H27-17
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.