30 Jun · 01:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MS
🇨🇿Martin Stefek
ELO 1401
FormLWWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Necas
MN
🇨🇿Miroslav Necas
ELO 1474
FormLLWWL
46%
54%
🌟Stefek goes over total as underdog 69% (13)
Fair odds · Necas
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 57% · 1.76· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+73
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.