30 Jun · 01:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JH
🇨🇿Jakub Hradecky
ELO 1610
FormLLWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Hradecky
PS
🇨🇿Petr Sebera
ELO 1545
FormLWLWW
53%
47%
Fair odds · Hradecky
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 32% · 3.17· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+65
H2H2-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.