29 Jun · 22:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MV
🇨🇿Michal Vedmoch
ELO 1526
FormWWWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Vedmoch
TD
🇨🇿Tomas Dousa
ELO 1471
FormLLLLL
53%
47%
Fair odds · Vedmoch
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+55
H2H20-25
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.