30 Jun · 01:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PP
🇨🇿Patrik Pycha
ELO 1577
FormWWWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Pycha
MS
🇨🇿Martin Sopko
ELO 1527
FormLWWLW
53%
47%
Fair odds · Pycha
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+50
H2H10-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.