30 Jun · 02:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MS
🇨🇿Martin Stefek
ELO 1401
FormLWWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Trinta
MT
🇨🇿Mihail Trinta
ELO 1486
FormWLLWL
46%
54%
🌟Stefek goes over total as underdog 69% (13)
Fair odds · Trinta
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+85
H2H20-13
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.