30 Jun · 03:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VC
🇨🇿Vladimir Cermak
ELO 1576
FormWWLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Cermak
PS
🇨🇿Petr Sebera
ELO 1545
FormLWLWW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Cermak
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 38% · 2.66· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+31
H2H3-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.