30 Jun · 03:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MC
🇨🇿Marek Chlebecek
ELO 1549
FormWLLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Chlebecek
DT
🇨🇿Daniel Tuma
ELO 1526
FormWWWLL
51%
49%
🌟Tuma stays under total as underdog 85% (13)
Fair odds · Chlebecek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+23
H2H5-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.