30 Jun · 04:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MC
🇨🇿Marek Chlebecek
ELO 1549
FormWLLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Pycha
PP
🇨🇿Patrik Pycha
ELO 1577
FormWWWLW
49%
51%
Fair odds · Pycha
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+28
H2H5-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.