29 Jun · 21:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JS
🇨🇿Jakub Stolfa
ELO 1475
FormWLLWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Vedmoch
MV
🇨🇿Michal Vedmoch
ELO 1526
FormWWWWW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Vedmoch
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+51
H2H3-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.