30 Jun · 03:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
SK
🇨🇿Sebastian Kasnik
ELO 1525
FormLWLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Brozhik
KB
🇨🇿Karel Brozhik
ELO 1534
FormWWWWL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Brozhik
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
19%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+9
H2H14-14
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.