30 Jun · 02:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PP
🇨🇿Patrik Pycha
ELO 1577
FormWWWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Pycha
AB
🇨🇿Ales Bayer
ELO 1561
FormLLLLW
51%
49%
🌟Bayer goes over total as underdog 65% (17)
Fair odds · Pycha
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~79 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+16
H2H12-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.