29 Jun · 20:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
TD
🇨🇿Tomas Dousa
ELO 1471
FormLLLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Stolfa
JS
🇨🇿Jakub Stolfa
ELO 1475
FormWLLWW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Stolfa
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 35% · 2.82· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 31%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
19%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+4
H2H4-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.