30 Jun · 14:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
IP
🇨🇿Ivo Palmi
ELO 1352
FormLWWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Palmi
JF
🇨🇿Jiri Foltynek
ELO 1327
FormLLLWL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Palmi
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~79 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+25
H2H15-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.