30 Jun · 17:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DU
🇨🇿Daniel Unzeitig
ELO 1460
FormLLWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Holub
MH
🇨🇿Marek Holub
ELO 1488
FormLWLLW
49%
51%
Fair odds · Holub
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+28
H2H9-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.