30 Jun · 17:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LK
🇨🇿Lukas Kern
ELO 1546
FormWLLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Kern
MC
🇨🇿Michal Chalupa
ELO 1498
FormLLWWL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Kern
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+48
H2H0-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.