30 Jun · 17:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PH
🇨🇿Patrik Hanel
ELO 1446
FormLWLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Hrabec
JH
🇨🇿Jan Hrabec
ELO 1497
FormLWWWL
47%
53%
Fair odds · Hrabec
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+51
H2H1-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.