30 Jun · 16:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MJ
🇨🇿Michal Jezek
ELO 1635
FormWWWWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Jezek
JJ
🇨🇿Jan Mecl Jr
ELO 1632
FormLWWWL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Jezek
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 31%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
19%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+3
H2H7-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.