30 Jun · 14:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PS
🇨🇿Petr Serak
ELO 1272
FormLLWLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Stary
JS
🇨🇿Jiri Stary
ELO 1275
FormWWLLW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Stary
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 56% · 1.80· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 31%Total ~72 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
19%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+3
H2H4-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.