30 Jun · 17:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JJ
🇨🇿Jan Mecl Jr
ELO 1632
FormLWWWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Barton
AB
🇨🇿Ales Barton
ELO 1635
FormWWWWW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Barton
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 31%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
19%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+3
H2H9-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.