30 Jun · 14:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
LP
🇨🇿Libor Prikasky
ELO 1563
FormWLLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Prikasky
MZ
🇨🇿Michal Zahradka
ELO 1552
FormWLLLL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Prikasky
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
19%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+11
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.