30 Jun · 14:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
J1
🇨🇿Jaroslav Strnad 1961
ELO 1270
FormWWWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Cernik
JC
🇨🇿Jaromir Cernik
ELO 1292
FormLWLLW
49%
51%
Fair odds · Cernik
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 66% · 1.52· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+22
H2H36-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.