30 Jun · 17:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JN
🇨🇿Jiri Nesnera
ELO 1704
FormWWWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Mares
EM
🇨🇿Erik Mares
ELO 1734
FormWWLLW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Mares
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 66% · 1.52· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~79 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+30
H2H3-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.