30 Jun · 10:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
IK
🇨🇿Ivan Kolenciak
ELO 1403
FormWWLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Kolenciak
JT
🇨🇿Josef Toth
ELO 1396
FormWLWWW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Kolenciak
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
19%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+7
H2H5-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.