30 Jun · 12:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JF
🇨🇿Jiri Foltynek
ELO 1327
FormLLLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Martinec
LM
🇨🇿Lukas Martinec
ELO 1369
FormLLLWL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Martinec
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 47% · 2.14· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+42
H2H0-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.