30 Jun · 13:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
LM
🇨🇿Lukas Martinec
ELO 1369
FormLLLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Martinec
IP
🇨🇿Ivo Palmi
ELO 1352
FormLWWLL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Martinec
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 34% · 2.92· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~79 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+17
H2H0-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.