30 Jun · 13:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JM
🇨🇿Jiri Motak
ELO 1334
FormLWLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Motak
JF
🇨🇿Jiri Foltynek
ELO 1327
FormLLLWL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Motak
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 59% · 1.71· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~79 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
19%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+7
H2H34-23
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.