30 Jun · 13:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JJ
🇨🇿Jiri Jira
ELO 1275
FormWLLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Jira
PS
🇨🇿Petr Serak
ELO 1272
FormLLWLL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Jira
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 34% · 2.94· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 31%Total ~74 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
19%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+3
H2H1-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.