30 Jun · 10:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VD
🇨🇿Vaclav Dolezal
ELO 1522
FormLLWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Dolezal
TN
🇨🇿Tomas Nohejl
ELO 1459
FormLWLLL
53%
47%
Fair odds · Dolezal
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~79 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+63
H2H3-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.