30 Jun · 13:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RU
🇨🇿Radim Urbaniec
ELO 1582
FormLWLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Wawrosz
PW
🇨🇿Pavel Wawrosz
ELO 1604
FormLLLWW
49%
51%
Fair odds · Wawrosz
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 60% · 1.66· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+22
H2H2-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.