30 Jun · 10:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
KD
🇨🇿Kyryl Darin
ELO 1425
FormLLLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Havlicek
VH
🇨🇿Vladimir Havlicek
ELO 1449
FormWLWLW
49%
51%
🌟Darin stays under total as underdog 80% (20)
Fair odds · Havlicek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~79 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+24
H2H15-22
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.