30 Jun · 10:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DP
🇨🇿Dmitro Parhomenko
ELO 1461
FormLWLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Zmuda
PZ
🇨🇿Petr Zmuda
ELO 1544
FormLLWWL
46%
54%
Fair odds · Zmuda
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
20%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+83
H2H3-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.