30 Jun · 12:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MH
🇨🇿Martin Huk
ELO 1600
FormWLWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Huk
LP
🇨🇿Libor Prikasky
ELO 1563
FormWLLWW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Huk
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+37
H2H2-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.