30 Jun · 13:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
J1
🇨🇿Jaroslav Strnad 1961
ELO 1270
FormWWWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Novotny
LN
🇨🇿Ladislav Novotny
ELO 1392
FormLLWWW
44%
56%
Fair odds · Novotny
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 55% · 1.81· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
3-1
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+122
H2H19-22
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+122)