30 Jun · 10:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JC
🇨🇿Jaromir Cernik
ELO 1292
FormLWLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Forman
LF
🇨🇿Lubos Forman
ELO 1348
FormLWLWL
47%
53%
Fair odds · Forman
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~71 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+56
H2H4-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.