30 Jun · 10:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LN
🇨🇿Ladislav Novotny
ELO 1392
FormLLWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Novotny
JV
🇨🇿Jindrich Vrba
ELO 1322
FormWLWLW
54%
46%
Fair odds · Novotny
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+70
H2H7-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.