30 Jun · 14:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RU
🇨🇿Radim Urbaniec
ELO 1582
FormLWLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Vavrecka
MV
🇨🇿Michal Vavrecka
ELO 1609
FormLWLWW
49%
51%
Fair odds · Vavrecka
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+27
H2H20-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.