29 Jun · 18:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JK
🇨🇿Jakub Kycelt
ELO 1640
FormWLWLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Kycelt
DO
🇨🇿Dmytro Opanasiuk
ELO 1634
FormLWWWW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Kycelt
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 46% · 2.17· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 31%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
19%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+6
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.