30 Jun · 09:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LS
🇨🇿Lubor Sulava
ELO 1400
FormWWWLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Nohejl
TN
🇨🇿Tomas Nohejl
ELO 1459
FormLWLLL
47%
53%
Fair odds · Nohejl
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+59
H2H1-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.