30 Jun · 09:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JV
🇨🇿Jindrich Vrba
ELO 1322
FormWLWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Vrba
JC
🇨🇿Jaromir Cernik
ELO 1292
FormLWLLW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Vrba
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 34% · 2.96· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+30
H2H5-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.