30 Jun · 09:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MV
🇨🇿Michal Vavrecka
ELO 1609
FormLWLWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Vavrecka
RP
🇨🇿Radovan Polasek
ELO 1601
FormLLWLW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Vavrecka
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
19%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+8
H2H14-23
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.