30 Jun · 18:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PH
🇨🇿Patrik Hanel
ELO 1446
FormLWLLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Zurek
FZ
🇨🇿Filip Zurek
ELO 1559
FormLWWWW
44%
56%
Fair odds · Zurek
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 47% · 2.15· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~79 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
3-1
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+113
H2H0-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+113)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)