30 Jun · 08:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
LF
🇨🇿Lubos Forman
ELO 1348
FormLWLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Forman
JV
🇨🇿Jindrich Vrba
ELO 1322
FormWLWLW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Forman
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 75% · 1.33· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~71 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+26
H2H11-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.