30 Jun · 09:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LN
🇨🇿Ladislav Novotny
ELO 1392
FormLLWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Novotny
LF
🇨🇿Lubos Forman
ELO 1348
FormLWLWL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Novotny
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 29% · 3.44· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~69 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+44
H2H7-13
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.