30 Jun · 09:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VH
🇨🇿Vladimir Havlicek
ELO 1449
FormWLWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Parhomenko
DP
🇨🇿Dmitro Parhomenko
ELO 1461
FormLWLLL
49%
51%
🌟Parhomenko stays under total as favourite 68% (19)
Fair odds · Parhomenko
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+12
H2H18-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.