30 Jun · 13:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MZ
🇨🇿Michal Zahradka
ELO 1570
FormWWWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Huk
MH
🇨🇿Martin Huk
ELO 1590
FormLWLWW
49%
51%
Fair odds · Huk
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+20
H2H47-63
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.