30 Jun · 20:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
TD
🇨🇿Tomas Dousa
ELO 1484
FormWWLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Dousa
DP
🇨🇿Dmitro Parhomenko
ELO 1461
FormLWLLL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Dousa
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+23
H2H15-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.