30 Jun · 22:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RH
🇨🇿Roman Hudeczek
ELO 1541
FormWWLWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Kern
LK
🇨🇿Lukas Kern
ELO 1546
FormWLLLL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Kern
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 31%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
19%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+5
H2H5-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.