1 Jul · 01:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JG
🇨🇿Jiri Grohsgott
ELO 1335
FormLLLWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Potensky
JP
🇨🇿Jan Potensky
ELO 1388
FormWLLWW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Potensky
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+53
H2H25-16
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.