30 Jun · 20:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
ZP
🇨🇿Zbynek Pagac
ELO 1538
FormLWWWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Hudeczek
RH
🇨🇿Roman Hudeczek
ELO 1541
FormWWLWW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Hudeczek
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 31%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
19%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+3
H2H21-30
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.